SDRNews SDR2008-01-31 Survival and Change

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    • Amazon Buys Audible – Kindle Behind the Deal ?
    • LAN at 30, Space Junk at 50
    • Vista Do Over: Where to Start

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      • Amazon Buys Audible – Kindle Behind the Deal ?
      • LAN at 30, Space Junk at 50
      • Vista Do Over: Where to Start


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      Nozbe

      Stuck in the Middle

      by Andrew McCaskey
      Three articles today have me stuck in the middle.

      The first pair of articles, the history of the LAN from 1977 and the 50th Anniversary of the US launch of Explorer I in 1958 put me firmly in the past of technology – remembering both events but with, as most things, little appreciation at the time.

      The second, the PC World article speculating upon technology twenty five years from now. I should have enough data points to be able to extrapolate between them and see how close to the trendline I’m actually going to get.

      First of all, any linear relationship technology mapping is going to go out the window. There is clearly no trend that we are a part of today that we can expect to continue in a nice smooth linear function, other than the orderly passing of time. That’s probably the one factor that is linear and predictable, but has the appearance of also being accelerated.

      What’s apparent is that the technology is moving forward and the human institutions of law, politics, education and society are struggling to adapt.

      Of course, Darwin is often misquoted as observing the “survival of the fittest” . What he actually said was

      “In the struggle for survival, the fittest win out at the expense of their rivals because they succeed in adapting themselves best to their environment.”

      It’s not about fitness, it’s about adapting to change. And Change is a popular concept this year..

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