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Microsoft Has Peaked
by Andrew McCaskey
Microsoft Has Peaked
It might be thirty years more before the end, but Microsoft has peaked. The article today in the MIT Technology Review (An OS Built for the Cloud) had, about three pages it, the most revealing sentence of them all:
“Paul Maritz, chief executive of VMware, who was once the Microsoft executive in charge of the operating system. By and large, he has noted, “people are no longer writing traditional Windows applications.”
For all of the discussion on the timing of the Chrome OS, the competition from Google in the App space, the rise of netbooks, mobile phones, and cloud operations – this one sentence will, over the long term spell the end of the Microsoft era of domination.
It is interesting to note that of all the Microsoft products, Sharepoint is the strongest business. Why ? because it provides enterprise customers with a “safe” way to allow their users to have walled garden experience that replicates the cloud based apps such as blogs, wikis, IM and microblogging that are available for free outside of the Microsoft bubble. This is going to be the future of Microsoft, as long as they can keep people inside the walled garden.
The MIT article went on to say, as impossible as it might sound today, had you said in 1970 that ATT was doomed to be a shadow of its former self in 30 years, you’d have gotten some strange looks as well.
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