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Windows 7 Will Still Make It
by Andrew McCaskey
In Spite of Slow Moving Enterprise Adoption, Win 7 Will Prevail
If you are seeking a good strong headline, survey over a thousand IT managers and ask them if they are going to adopt Windows 7 within the first year of release. The headline will return a big, interesting number (83%) and readers of the survey will be surprised. Why ? Because they are readers in search of a headline. With a little reflection, it should come as little surprise that the number is not higher.
The false implication is that those who are currently on XP, (apparently around 60%) will move to Windows 7 seeking more modern machines, without the expense and turmorial of moving to the bloated Vista OS. I think that’s not the case in most organizations – they will be content to remain on XP for the next year or two, further letting the market stabilize, and then slowly movingto adopt Windows 7.
Windows 7 will still make it, though – on the strength of consumer systems that will be preloaded with Windows7, require consumers to step back two generations (Win7 to Vista to XP) .There’s no desire to downgrade to Vista. Paying for two downgrade actions (both WIn7 to Vista, Vista to XP) to get to XP would be a powerful incentive to consumers NOT to break out of the Win7 OS. As painful as it is to downgrade, the consumer demand for laptops and desktop machine/family entertainment machines will put Win 7 in the driver’s seat. Eventually.
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